Trump Has Abandoned Ukraine in Favour of Russia

Please note that this posts partially relies on AI generated text and images.

Both above images of Presidents Trump and Putin are in the public domain.

On 9 March 2025, I watched an excellent YouTube video from The Kyiv Independent entitled British MP: “Trump could be a Russian asset”.

In the video, Chris York, The Kyiv Independent News Operations Editor interviewed British Conservative MP Graham Stuart about his recent statement on X stating “We have to consider the possibility that President Trump is a Russian asset. If so, Trump’s acquisition is the crowning achievement of Putin’s FSB career, and Europe is on its own.” Source: Graham Stuart on X.

Elon Musk replied to Graham Stuart tagging the X account @ifindRetards. Retard Finder appears to be a malicious X account that attempts to “expose” people who are described by some in the U.S. with the pejorative term retard.

Watch the video from The Kyiv Independent

Stuart says during the interview that he asked Elon Musk’s AI platform Grok about the possibility of President Trump being a Russian asset and received a probability score “sort of 75% or so”. More importantly, Stuart gives a compelling breakdown of his reasoning and why, in his opinion, there is a high chance that Trump is a Russian asset. The video is an excellent watch. I won’t give any more spoilers, and I recommend you watch the video above.

I don’t know the exact phrase Stuart used when interrogating Grok, so I could not replicate the phrase or phrases that Stuart asked of Grok.

However, while I am 100 per cent sure that Trump is indeed favouring Russia over Ukraine, I decided to conduct my own experiment using three well-known AI platforms, namely Grok (owned by Elon Musk), Chat GPT (owned by OpenAI) and Google Gemini (owned by Google). My results from all three AI platforms are dated 9 March 2025.

Disclaimer: I base my belief that Trump has indeed abandoned Ukraine in favour of Russia not on AI but on what I am seeing in pro-Ukraine traditional news media and in pro-Ukraine social media.

Probability that Trump has abandoned Ukraine in favour of Russia

My question to all three platforms: Based on comments and actions from the White House and President Trump during the last week, what is the likelihood that President Trump has abandoned Ukraine in favour of Russia. Please also factor in news media reports about the war in Ukraine during the last week. Please give me a score of 1 to 100.

Grok’s response | Trump has abandoned Ukraine in favour of Russia

To assess the likelihood that President Trump has abandoned Ukraine in favour of Russia based on White House comments, his actions, and news media reports from the last week (March 1–March 8, 2025), I’ll analyse the available data systematically. The timeframe limits us to events and statements from this period, and I’ll integrate the provided search results and context while critically evaluating the narrative. I’ll then assign a score from 1 (highly unlikely) to 100 (highly likely).

Analysis of White House Comments and Trump’s Actions (March 1 – March 8, 2025)

1. Suspension of Military Aid and Intelligence Sharing
   Multiple sources report that Trump suspended U.S. military aid and intelligence sharing with Ukraine during the last week. For instance, on March 7, Reuters noted Trump paused these supports days before threatening Russia with sanctions, signalling a shift in policy. The New York Times (March 6) and NBC News (March 6) corroborate this, highlighting the immediate impact on Ukraine’s ability to counter Russian strikes. This move suggests a reduction in tangible support for Ukraine, aligning with a possible pivot away from Kyiv.
2. Public Statements and Rhetoric
   • On March 7, Trump told reporters in the Oval Office that he finds it “easier” to deal with Russia than Ukraine and that Putin “wants to end the war” (BBC, The Guardian). He also stated Putin’s massive strikes on Ukraine were “what anybody would do,” a remark interpreted as justifying Russian aggression (The Guardian, March 7). These comments contrast with his earlier criticisms of Zelenskyy, whom he accused of “gambling with world war three” during a tense White House meeting the prior week (The Guardian, March 8).
   • However, on the same day (March 7), Trump threatened Russia with “large-scale sanctions and tariffs” to push for a ceasefire (Reuters, Al Jazeera), indicating some pressure on Moscow. Hours later, he posted on Truth Social that he was “doing very well with Russia” (POLITICO), muddying the narrative with apparent warmth toward Putin.
3. Oval Office Incident and Aftermath
   The White House meeting with Zelenskyy on February 28 (just outside the timeframe but referenced heavily in last week’s reports) set the stage for current tensions. Trump berated Zelenskyy for being “disrespectful” and cut off aid shortly after (BBC, March 9; The Guardian, March 8). This public fallout, followed by the aid suspension, suggests a deliberate distancing from Ukraine.
4. Saudi Arabia Talks
   Trump confirmed plans for U.S.-Ukraine talks in Saudi Arabia next week (The New York Times, March 6; Fox News, March 7), hinting at a potential framework for peace. His envoy, Steve Witkoff, described Zelenskyy’s letter as containing an “apology” and “gratitude” (BBC, March 6), suggesting Trump is pressuring Ukraine to negotiate on his terms. This could imply a shift toward a Russia-favourable deal, especially given prior U.S.-Russia talks in Saudi Arabia last month without Ukrainian involvement (BBC, March 8).

News Media Reports on the Ukraine-Russia War (March 1 – March 8)

1. Russian Escalation
   • Russia intensified attacks, with a devastating strike on March 8 killing at least 25 Ukrainians (The Independent, The Guardian), and another on March 6 killing 20 (BBC). These followed Trump’s aid suspension, weakening Ukraine’s defences (NBC News, March 6).
   • Amnesty International (March 4) reported Russian war crimes against Ukrainian captives, underscoring Moscow’s aggression, which Trump’s rhetoric has not directly condemned.
2. European Response
   • European leaders, alarmed by Trump’s moves, pledged €800 billion for defence (The Guardian, March 6) and continued intelligence support (e.g., Britain, per The Guardian). French President Macron criticised Trump’s alignment shift, calling Russia an “imperialistic power” (The Guardian, March 6), reflecting a transatlantic rift.
3. Zelenskyy’s Position
   • Zelenskyy emphasised Ukraine’s commitment to peace (The Guardian, March 8; Fox News, March 7), proposing a truce and expressing readiness to work with Trump. However, his calls for stronger sanctions on Russia (BBC, March 6) contrast with Trump’s mixed signals, suggesting Ukraine feels abandoned.

Critical Evaluation

• Pro-Ukraine Abandonment Evidence: The suspension of aid and intelligence, combined with Trump’s favourable remarks toward Putin and pressure on Zelenskyy, strongly suggest a tilt away from Ukraine. His lack of public condemnation of Russia’s latest attacks and history of seeking a quick deal (e.g., promising to end the war swiftly during his campaign) align with a narrative of favouring Russia’s interests—potentially conceding territory or halting Ukraine’s NATO aspirations, as speculated on X.
• Counterpoints: Trump’s sanction threats against Russia and planned talks with Ukraine indicate he hasn’t fully abandoned Kyiv or embraced Moscow. His actions could be a negotiation tactic to force both sides to the table, not a complete capitulation to Russia. The inconsistency in his rhetoric (e.g., praising Putin then threatening sanctions) complicates a clear conclusion.
• Contextual Gaps: The search results lack detailed White House statements beyond Trump’s own words, and Zelenskyy’s letter isn’t public, limiting insight into its concessions. Russia’s response to Trump’s threats (e.g., Kremlin statements) is also underreported here, leaving Moscow’s perspective unclear.

Likelihood Score

Based on the evidence:

• Supporting Abandonment (70%): The aid cut, pro-Putin rhetoric, and pressure on Ukraine outweigh the counterpoints in immediacy and impact. News reports amplify this by showing Ukraine’s vulnerability and Europe’s scramble to fill the U.S. void.
• Mitigating Factors (30%): Sanctions threats and upcoming talks suggest some balance, preventing a full 100% likelihood.

Final Score: 70/100
There’s a substantial likelihood (70%) that Trump has abandoned Ukraine in favour of Russia, driven by his actions and words last week, though his mixed signals and diplomatic moves prevent certainty. This score reflects a critical view of the establishment narrative, acknowledging both the tilt toward Russia and the possibility of strategic posturing.

Chat GPT’s response | Trump has abandoned Ukraine in favour of Russia

Recent actions and statements from President Donald Trump and his administration suggest a significant shift in U.S. foreign policy regarding the Ukraine-Russia conflict. On March 3, 2025, President Trump ordered an indefinite pause on all U.S. military aid to Ukraine, citing dissatisfaction with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s commitment to peace negotiations with Russia. This suspension affects over $1 billion in arms and ammunition previously slated for delivery to Ukraine.

en.wikipedia.org

Furthermore, during a March 4 speech to Congress, Trump conveyed a conciliatory message to Zelenskyy, stating that Ukraine was ready to sign a minerals deal with the U.S. However, he also questioned the continued U.S. funding for Ukraine, rhetorically asking, “Do you want to keep it going for another five years?”

en.wikipedia.org

These developments have elicited criticism from international figures. Former UK Defence Secretary Ben Wallace condemned Trump’s suspension of intelligence sharing with Ukraine, arguing that it “suffocates” Ukraine’s hope against Russian aggression.

The Guardian.com

In light of these actions, it appears that President Trump is increasingly aligning with Russia’s interests, potentially at the expense of Ukraine. Considering the available information, I would assess the likelihood of President Trump having abandoned Ukraine in favour of Russia at approximately 85 out of 100.

Google Gemini’s response | Trump has abandoned Ukraine in favour of Russia

I can’t help with that right now. I’m trained to be as accurate as possible but I can make mistakes sometimes. While I work on perfecting how I can discuss elections and politics, you can try Google Search.

Wow! I could comment on Google Gemini’s response but I am not going to do so.

I don’t think you need a master’s degree, which I don’t have, to come to the right conclusion as to whether Trump has abandoned Ukraine in favour of Russia. You just need to be on the right side of history by standing with Ukraine.

Recommended further watching and reading

The Kyiv Independent. Website and YouTube channel.

Jake Broe’s YouTube channel. Jake is a U.S. veteran and regularly reports about the war in Ukraine. He has a Master’s Degree in International Relations and and is my go-to source for accurate reporting about Ukraine.

The Greg Terry Experience. Greg is a U.S civilian humanitarian aid worker based in Ukraine and has a deep understanding of the geopolitics affecting Ukraine.

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